What are the application and appeal stages? What is the average wait time? What are my chances of winning?

The chart below shows this information:

Stage

Wait Time

Average Win %

1- Initial Application3-6 months33%
2- Reconsideration Appeal3-6 months12%
3- Administrative law hearing10-12 months40-50%, but highly variable, depending on the particular judge
4- Appeals Council12-16 monthsRemands (another chance at a hearing) occur 13% of the time; awards (where the Appeals Council outright grants the case) occur 1% of the time; the other 86% of cases are either dismissed or denied
5- Federal CourtvariableRemands (another chance at a hearing) occur 45% of the time; awards (where the federal court judge outright grants benefits) occur 2% of the time

 

Each time the claim is denied through Step 4, then within 60 days an appeal must be filed with your local Social Security office.  Also, at Step 3, administrative law hearings are held at a local Office of Disability Adjudication and Review (ODAR).  In North Texas, there is one ODAR in Fort Worth, one in downtown Dallas, and one in North Dallas.